PhyStat-nu Fermilab 2016

19 Sep 2016, 08:00 → 21 Sep 2016, 17:00 US/Central

Louis Lyons (Imperial College, London and Oxford), Thomas Junk (Fermilab)

Fermilab is hosting an international workshop on statistical issues in experimental neutrino physics, called Phystat-Nu Fermilab 2016. This workshop will bring together statisticians and experimental physicists to address the challenges raised in the design of future neutrino experiments and producing the most valuable results from running ones. The increased precision of current and future experiments requires careful review and selection of statistical techniques and procedures for controlling systematic uncertainty. The workshop will address interaction reconstruction techniques, selecting and classifying events, measuring model parameters, controlling systematic uncertainties, setting limits on rare processes, discovery of new processes and phenomena, choosing between models, Bayesian and frequentist techniques, and combining the results of experiments. Remote connections are available at http://readytalk.com with meeting ID 3872183. The US toll-free number is +1 866 740 1260 and the toll number is +1 303 248 0285. Computer audio and international toll-free numbers are available at http://readytalk.com

Monday, 19 September

08:30 → 09:00 Registration

09:00 → 10:50 Opening Session

09:00 Welcome and Introduction

Speaker: Dr Thomas Junk (Fermilab)

Slides trj_workshop_intro.pdf

09:05 Welcome from the Director

Speaker: Nigel Lockyer (Fermilab)

09:10 Introduction to Neutrino Physics

Speaker: Dr Stephen Parke (Fermilab)

Slides parke_physnustat.pdf TriangleAmue.gif

09:50 Introduction to Statistics for Neutrino Experiments

Speaker: Louis Lyons (Imperial College, London and Oxford)

Slides LL_Phystat_nu_Introduction_FNAL.pptx

10:50 → 11:20 Coffee

11:20 → 12:00 LIGO Session

11:20 Statistical Methods Used by LIGO

Speaker: Dr Chris Pankow (Northwestern University)

Slides PhyStatNu.pdf

12:00 → 13:30 Lunch

13:30 → 15:40 Monday Afternoon 1

13:30 Long-Baseline Neutrino Experiment Analysis Techniques

Speaker: Dr Christopher Backhouse (Caltech)

Slides phystat.pdf

14:10 Statistical Quantification of Discovery in Neutrino Physics

Speaker: Prof. David van Dyk (Imperial College London)

Slides vandyk-phystatnu-fermilab.pdf

14:40 MINERvA Analysis Techniques

Speaker: Dr Laura Fields (Fermilab)

Slides PhyStat2016_Fields_MINERvA.pdf

15:10 Global Neutrino Cross Section Fits and Challenges

Speaker: Prof. Kendall Mahn (Michigan State University)

Slides tensions2016_phystatnu_v1.pdf

15:40 → 16:10 Coffee

16:10 → 18:10 Monday Afternoon 2

16:10 VALOR -- Systematic Constraint Fits

Speaker: Dr Steve Dennis (University of Liverpool)

Slides valor_nd_fits.pdf

16:40 VALOR -- Oscillation Fits

Speaker: Dr Lorena Escudero (University of Cambridge)

Slides VALOROscillationFitsPhystatNu_v5.pdf

17:10 Sensitivity of Neutrino Oscillation Experiments to CP Violation

Speaker: Pilar Coloma (Fermilab)

Slides coloma-phystat.pdf

17:40 Post-Selection Inference

Speaker: Prof. Todd Kuffner (Washington University in St. Louis)

Slides talk_2016_PhyStat.pdf

18:30 → 20:30 Reception and Refreshments at Wilson Hall

Tuesday, 20 September

09:00 → 10:30 Tuesday Morning 1

09:00 Gaussian CLs

Speaker: Prof. Aixin Tan (University of Iowa)

Slides talk-tan-160920.pdf

09:30 Likelihood-Free Inference

Speaker: Kyle Cranmer (NYU)

Paper http://arxiv.org/abs/1506.02169

Slides PhyStat-nu-likelihood-free-inference.pdf

10:00 Sensitivity of Muon Decay at Rest Experiments to CP Violation

Speaker: Dr Shao-Feng Ge (Max-Planck-Institut fuer Kernphysik, Germany)

Slides fermilab_1609.pdf

10:30 → 11:00 Coffee

11:00 → 12:00 Tuesday Morning 2

11:00 Solar Neutrinos

Speaker: Scott Oser (UBC)

Slides Statistics_issues_for_solar_neutrino_researchers.pdf

11:30 Supernova Burst Neutrinos

Speaker: JJ Cherry (Los Alamos National Laboratories)

Slides PhyStat-nu_Cherry_2016.pdf

12:00 → 13:30 Lunch

13:30 → 15:00 Tuesday Afternoon 1

13:30 Neutrinoless Double Beta Decay

Speaker: Prof. David Moore (Yale University)

Slides Moore_nustat_0vbb.pdf

14:00 Deep Learning/MVA Advances

Speaker: Dr Steven Young (Oak Ridge National Laboratory)

Slides Deep_Learning_v5.pdf

14:30 Short-Baseline Analysis Techniques

Speaker: Dr Zarko Pavlovic (Fermilab)

Slides zp_SBN_phystatnu_2016.pdf

15:00 → 15:30 Coffee

15:30 → 17:15 Tuesday Afternoon 2

15:30 Collider Experience

Speaker: Dr Thomas Junk (Fermilab)

Slides trj_collider_experience.pdf

16:00 Reactor Experiment Summary

Speaker: Dr Xin Qian (BNL)

Slides Stat_DYB.pdf

16:30 Individualized Inference

Speaker: Prof. Xiao-Li Meng

Slides Meng_FermiBFF.pdf

17:00 Likelihood-based test statistic in Solar Axion Searches

Speaker: Dr Wenqin Xu (University of South Dakota)

Slides WXu_phystat_Nu.pdf

18:00 → 20:00 Dinner Catered at Wilson Hall

Wednesday, 21 September

09:00 → 10:00 Wednesday Morning 1

09:00 Statistical Approaches for IceCube, DeepCore, and PINGU Neutrino Oscillation Analyses

Speaker: Dr Joshua Hignight

Slides 20160921_hignight_deepcore_pingu_phystat.pdf

09:20 Blind Analyses in the High-Statistics Regime with Atmospheric Neutrinos in DeepCore

Speaker: Dr Joshua Hignight (Michigan State University)

Slides 20160921_hignight_blind_analysis_phystat.pdf

09:40 Statistical Issues in High-Energy Neutrino Analyses

Speaker: Mr Kyle Jero

Slides PhysStat_Nu-Statistical_Issues_In_HE_Neutrino_Searches.pdf

10:00 → 10:30 Coffee

10:30 → 12:00 Panel Discussion

Convener: Dr Thomas Junk (Fermilab)

10:30 Panel Discussion

Speakers: Dr Costas Andreopoulos (University of Liverpool and STFC/RAL), Prof. David van Dyk (Imperial College London), Kyle Cranmer (NYU), Prof. Robert Cousins (UCLA), Prof. Xiao-Li Meng (Harvard University)

Slides Panel_Questions.pdf

12:00 → 13:30 Lunch

13:30 → 15:00 Wednesday Afternoon 1

13:30 Believability of Signals

Speaker: Maury Goodman (Argonne)

Slides http://thecolbertreport.cc.com/videos/3df60s/higgs-boson-humor statgoodman.pptx

14:00 Unfolding Techniques

Speaker: Dr Mikael Kuusela

Slides Phystat_nu_2016.pdf

14:30 Reflections on Statistical Data Analysis in Neutrino Experiments since NOMAD and Feldman-Cousins

Speaker: Prof. Robert Cousins (UCLA)

Slides phystat_nu_reflections_cousins_21sep2016_updated.pdf

15:00 → 15:20 Coffee

15:20 → 17:00 Closing Session

15:20 Physicist's Summary

Speaker: Dr Asher Kaboth (RHUL)

Slides Summary.pdf

16:10 Statistician's Summary

Speaker: Prof. Richard Lockhart (Simon Fraser University)

Slides 2016PhystatNu.pdf